Thursday, December 4, 2014

Red Wings November Review

I apologize for the delay, but here is my review of the Detroit Red Wings in the month of November. One month ago the Wings entered November with a 6-2-2 record, 4th best in the league and on pace for just under 115 points. Fast forward 15 games and the Wings are 14-6-5 good for 3rd in the division.

Wednesday, November 26, 2014

Rick Nash & Tomas Jurco: When a Slump Becomes Something More

Last year as the Rangers made a run to the Stanley Cup Finals, talk centered on the play of Rick Nash. Despite posting 26 goals during a 65 game regular season, he went 14 games without a goal to start the playoffs. As the slump continued, talk of a potential trade or even a buyout surrounded Nash. This talk only increased when the Rangers fell to the Kings by the slimmest of margins. With Nash only registering 3 goals in the 25 playoff games, at some point it became more than a simple slump.

Thursday, November 13, 2014

James Russell Howard III

 With a couple days off there has been little to report on the Red Wings. We are 15 games in and I am pretty satisfied with the teams play at this point. While only 5th in the division, a single win would jump the Wings all the way to 3rd and put them only 3 points out of 1st. As discussed in my first month review, the possession numbers have also been very good suggesting this success should continue. The biggest improvements have been in their defensive play and in Jimmy Howard’s return to form. While my shot tracking project should shed some light on this going forward, for now I wanted to take a look at what has changed between this year and last on the defensive/Jimmy Howard front.

Monday, November 3, 2014

System Analysis: We Lost to the Sabres?!?

Last night the Red Wings dominated possession but a inability to finish as well as a few defensive miscues allowed Buffalo to hang around and steal the win. After the game, Smith was asked about the two goals against the Red Wings. Te reported hinted that since they were the result of scrambles in front, the blame falls on the defensemen. Smith was very quick to disagree with him and talked about how it was more about getting pucks out of the zone and problems with their defensive system than the D clearing out bodies in front. I'm going to take a quick look at the goal and I’ll show you why I think this instance, Smith is absolutely correct.

We start with Smith having the puck behind the net and a man closing in on him. You can see here that his options are pretty limited. There is no winger on the wall for a direct breakout pass, and #24 is in great position to stop a hard rim from leaving the zone.

Trying to make something out of nothing, as Smith is one to do, he makes a soft chip to where the winger should be and hopes they win the footrace. Unfortunately Andersson and Miller are both slow to get there and the Sabres recover the puck.

Now the D takes the puck down low but we can see the Red Wings are in pretty good defensive positioning. Andersson is the new “center” playing down low, the wingers have collapsed low to help protect the scoring area. DeKeyser is covering the front of the net and Smith is eliminating the potential pass to his man. Smith could be more focused on his man and less focused on the puck and someone should be closer to #17 but so far so good. Now the camera angle makes it difficult but I'll try to explain whats going on.

The puck carrier reverses and curls back up the wall. Now Stewart has entered the picture for the first time, having occupied the defender's spot on the blue line. Since Stewart has become the "d-man" following the pinch he is Miller’s responsibility. However we see Miller is focused only on the puck carrier. Ignoring his defensive responsibilities Miller comes in to try win the puck.

Miller creates a battle along the wall and now Stewart, DeKeyser and his man come into the pile as well. The puck eventually gets by DeKeyser and heads back behind the net. This is where the trouble begins. As a defender you should always try to be between your man and the net. Miller’s attempt to win the puck allowed Stewart to get between Miller and the net, a big defensive no no. Now Stewart has inside positioning and is headed straight for the net.

Now Stewart is off the wall and no one goes with him. Smith's man now has the puck behind the net. I'm not sure if he knows Stewart is there, but he makes a good play to force his to make a play back into pressure. With all the Red Wings on once side of the ice, Smith wants to force the play back into where the defenders are so they can make a play.

However, Smith’s defensive positioning depended on getting help from the defenders coming back from the wall battle and allowed an easy passing lane on the right side. No one comes across with Stewart and Glendening is focused only on the puck. With no one close enough to help, a quick pass on the tape forces Jimmy in transition and it ends up in the back of the Red Wing's net.

A few bad decision eventually turned into a game tying goal. Andersson not being on the wall to receive the pass from Smith, Miller losing his man after jumping in to win a battle, and Glendening/Smith not keeping their head on a swivel all combined to cost the Red Wings a point in the standings. While many people will jump to Smith not getting the puck out, I personally have no problem with that play. The Red Wings are and forever will be a possession team, in a bad spot he attempted to make a play to keep possession. The worst case scenario for that play was exactly was happened, Buffalo winning a battle on the wall which was not exactly a horrid outcome. However I do acknowledge that I am a huge Brendan Smith fan and I may have some bias when viewing this play. That said, based on what I see the blame falls more on the forwards for failing to stay with their guys then the defenders.

Saturday, November 1, 2014

Red Wings First Month Review

We are officially one month into the hockey season. After 10 games the Red Wings find themselves with a 6-2-2 record, good for 14 points, 4th best in the league. While it is still a bit early to make any definitive claims about the Red Wing's future, I'll take a look to see how we got here and give some of my observations on the Wings play to this point.

Friday, October 31, 2014

Wings Dethrone the Kings

An offensive explosion in the first period led the Red Wings to a big win over the tired and injured LA Kings. It looked like it would be a good night early as the Wings scored on the PP only five minutes into the game on a beautiful passing play. When they added three more goals before the first period ended it seemed like they had it in the bag. The Kings showed their championship pedigree as they continued to battle back eventually cutting it to 4-2 in the third period. King's Captain had a penalty shot and the chance to cut the lead to one, but a big save by Jimmy Howard gave the Wings the wiggle room they needed. Datsyuk would add an empty netter to seal the deal. One month into the season the Wings are playing great hockey and can claim to be one of the top 10 teams in the league. With a bit of a softer schedule coming up in November, there is no reason that the winning should end now.

Wednesday, October 29, 2014

Top Line Steps Up

Despite starting the game on separate lines, a lackluster start from the Red Wings forced Babcock to rejoin Zetterberg, Datsyuk and Abby on the top line. The result was three goals in the third period two from Abby and Datsyuk tacked on a beauty with under a minute left to seal the deal. Not the best effort from the Wings as they struggled early in the game and fell behind due to some defensive miscues. However they finally got some offense from the big guys to make a tough call early and the defensive issues irrelevant. A great win for the Wings but they still need some offense from the middle 6 if they're going to continue winning like this.